KnowledgeNearing Saturation
Trust Score:
75

GPQA

PhD-written science questions so hard that skilled non-experts with Google score 34% — the 'Google-proof' exam, reported on its 198-question Diamond subset.

Launched: Refresh: static
Status Assessment (nearing-saturation):

Frontier reasoning models reach the high 80s on GPQA Diamond (e.g. Grok 4 ~87%, mid-2025), against a label-noise-adjusted ceiling likely in the low 90s — the paper documents a few percent of questions with expert-identified errors. Unlike MMLU, meaningful headroom remains and top models are only now crossing the PhD-expert line, so it still discriminates; but the trajectory is one or two model generations from done. Judgment call — the first `nearing-saturation` benchmark on the wiki.

Performance Timeline

Longitudinal progression of model scores against human baselines.

Performance & Historical Trajectory

Empirical score progression across model release dates and evaluation rounds.

Independent Vendor-Reported Human Baseline (69.7%)
ModelScoreDateSource TypeProvenance
o178%2024-09-12vendor-reportedSource ↗
Grok 487%2024-06-01independentSource ↗
GPT-4o56.1%2024-05-13vendor-reportedSource ↗

Human Baseline & Difficulty Horizon

Calibrated human reference points, specialist benchmarks, and ceiling thresholds.
Measured Human Score69.7%Domain Expert Baseline
Baseline Protocol & Interpretation

Measured accuracy of PhD experts in specific scientific domains with open web search access.

Metric & Scoring Methodology

Verification protocols, aggregation formulas, and specialized metric variants.
Primary Metric:accuracy on GPQA Diamond, 4-option multiple choice (%)
Scoring Engine:exact-match

Dataset & Compute Cost

Evaluation volume, public availability, API pricing, and local hardware requirements.
Total Dataset Size198Annotated evaluation items
Public Test SetPublicOpenly mirrored on repositories
Access GatingOpen AccessUnrestricted download
Evaluation LicenseOpen AccessDataset usage and redistribution terms
Frontier API Compute Cost:

$5 – $20 USD for full benchmark evaluation run on frontier APIs.

Recommended Local GPU Setup:

1x NVIDIA RTX 4090 (24GB) or A100 (40GB/80GB) via vLLM / SGLang

Official Dataset & Benchmark Files:Download / View Dataset Repository ↗

How to Run & Reproduce

Standardized evaluation protocols, CLI commands, and reproducible runner templates.
Prompt Regimezero-shot
Reasoning Modedirect
Sampling Temp0
Pass@k Budgetk = 1
Tools & SandboxPure Text
Scoring Verifierexact-match
Option AEleutherAI LM-Evaluation-Harness (Open-Weight Models)
lm_eval --model hf --model_args pretrained=<model_path> --tasks gpqa --batch_size auto
Option BOpenCompass Evaluation Framework
opencompass --datasets gpqa --models <model_config>
Python APIDeterministic Inference Loop Snippet
# Standard API Evaluation Loop
from openai import OpenAI

client = OpenAI()
response = client.chat.completions.create(
    model="gpt-4o",
    messages=[{"role": "user", "content": prompt}],
    temperature=0.0,
)
Standardized Reporting Requirement:

When publishing results for GPQA, always report the exact prompt template, few-shot exemplar ordering, sampling temperature (temperature=0), maximum reasoning budget tokens, and the precise timestamped model snapshot ID.

Contamination & Memorization Analysis

Audit of pretraining exposure risks, memorization vectors, and refresh policies.
Overall Contamination Risk:MEDIUM
Refresh Cadence:

Static fixed snapshot

Test Set Exposure:

Public on web / HuggingFace